Definition
Horizon scanning is a systematic process used to identify emerging trends, risks, opportunities, and potential disruptions that could impact an organisation, sector, or society in the future. This involves collecting and analysing data from various sources to anticipate changes and prepare for possible futures. It is a key component in strategic foresight, helping decision-makers to detect weak signals and early indicators of change before they become mainstream.
Example
UK’s Foresight Programme
This programme conducts studies on long-term challenges like climate change, obesity, and aging populations. For instance, in the early 2000s, the UK government used horizon scanning to explore the future impacts of nanotechnology, leading to early regulations and guidelines to manage potential risks.
Ask yourself
What trends or weak signals am I observing that could influence the future of my industry?
How might current global events shape the long-term future?
Where else can I find reliable data on this topic?
How can my organisation or community prepare for these potential futures?
Where to find data
- Industry reports and publications
- News and media outlets
- Expert opinions
- Social media and online communities
- Trend-tracking tools
- Brainstorming with your team
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